Scouting for Not-So-Distant Worlds
Yet the great strengths that led to Kepler’s success were also its weakness; it stared at one patch of sky in the Milky Way constantly, amongst the patterns of the constellations Lyra and Cygnus where the density of stars is highest. While the mission may have seen more stars in this area of sky, some of the stars and their transits that Kepler observed are so faint that ground-based telescopes can’t conduct follow-up observations. What’s needed is a telescope, or a set of telescopes, that can look for planetary transits of the closest and brightest stars across a much wider area of sky.
Step up the Next-Generation Transit Survey (NGTS). It is the successor to the highly successful Super-WASP project, which was assembled on a shoestring budget and sports two observatories in the Canary Islands and South Africa. NGTS instead is being built atop Cerro Paranal at the European Southern Observatory (ESO) in Chile’s Atacama Desert. It will also be the perfect counterpoint to the space-based Kepler.
“We have the Kepler machine that has found over 2,000 planet [candidates], which is wonderful,” says Queloz, one of Europe’s experts on exoplanets who has recently joined the University of Cambridge as Professor of Physics at the Cavendish Laboratory. “Most of them are Neptune-sized but the problem is that all these planets are so faint that we cannot measure their mass or do anything about them.”
We know that these planets are there but, without the necessary instrumentation, there is not much we can do in the way of truly understanding what they and their atmospheres are made of. “For scientists it is a lot of frustration because in that sense Kepler is an experiment that brought even bigger questions,” Queloz smiles.
“This will be the first statistical sample of measured densities for small planets,” says the University of Warwick’s Peter Wheatley, who is NGTS’ co-Principal Investigator. “We believe this sample will allow quantitative tests of planet formation, migration and evolutionary models, and will drive the development of future models.”
The NGTS team doesn’t plan to stop there. They are thinking even more ambitiously, with the intent of finding super-Earths and Neptunes around stars bright enough for large telescopes -- such as Hubble, the Very Large Telescope or the James Webb Space Telescope -- to characterise their atmospheres using transmission spectroscopy. This method studies the starlight that is absorbed as it passes through the thin atmospheric veils that coat these worlds.
Mikko Tuomi of the University of Hertfordshire in the UK, who is not a member of the NGTS consortium, agrees that its findings will be valuable. “It [NGTS] will likely produce several dozen new detections, which is good because it helps us understand the formation processes and the occurrence rate of Neptune-sized planets better,” he says. “Plenty of the candidates that they will find will also have radial velocity follow-ups, which is another good thing as it allows for independent confirmation and, more interestingly, simultaneous determination of planetary radii and masses, which can then be used to estimate planet compositions.”
As far as detecting planets in the habitable zone, Wheatley doesn’t rule it out although he admits it’s not one of NGTS’ primary goals, unlike Kepler. “It is actually possible that we will find planets in the habitable zone around red dwarf stars,” he says. “Our simulations show we should be sensitive to two or three habitable zone planets, but we’re not making them one of our primary science goals as they are right at our detection limits.”
“We hope to detect perhaps 20 super-Earths around stars brighter than 13th magnitude as well as 60 or more hot Neptunes,” says Matt Burleigh of the University of Leicester, a team member in the NGTS consortium. “The super-Earths will most likely be found around the smaller radius, lower mass red dwarf stars in the survey area. Some could even be in their host star’s habitable zones, which are much closer to red dwarfs than solar-type stars.”
In comparison to Kepler, NGTS’ advantage is its total survey area, which at a total of 100 square degrees is its ace up its sleeve. “The field of view of NGTS is similar to that of Kepler, but we are planning to observe around four fields per year for at least four years and so we should cover at least sixteen times the sky area that Kepler does,” says Wheatley. The aim is that, by covering more sky, the survey will hit upon more brighter and/or nearby stars that Kepler’s restricted field of view misses, in the hope of snaring planets for which it is easier, in the long term, to measure characteristics such as atmospheric composition.
NGTS’ predecessor, Super-WASP (Wide Angle Search for Planets), has detected 65 exoplanets since it went online in 2004. Amazingly, SuperWASP doesn’t have any telescopes to its name, but rather just arrays of camera lenses bought from eBay.
So NGTS, with its custom-built 8-inch aperture telescopes, each affixed to its own individual mount and each sporting a large format CCD camera, is a big step up, although it is still dwarfed by its giant neighbours, the four eight-metre telescopes of the European Southern Observatory’s Very Large Telescope, which NGTS will sit next to atop the peak of Cerro Paranal (NGTS is the first private instrument to be granted permission to build at the ESO site at Cerro Paranal, suggesting the importance that ESO views it with). Currently being assembled for just less than two million pounds (around three million dollars) NGTS will see first light in 2014. SuperWASP allowed many of the scientists like Wheatley and Burleigh to cut their teeth on exoplanet detection and learn the ropes as it were, so that when it comes to NGTS they’ll be able to dive straight in.
Then there is TESS, NASA’s Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite, which will do a similar job as NGTS, searching the nearest or brightest stars for transits. Meanwhile the European Space Agency’s CHEOPS (CHaracterising ExOPlanets Satellite), which has been tipped to be launched in 2017, will target previously confirmed planets in order to improve the measurements of these transits that have been uncovered from Earth. NGTS will be able to provide planet fodder for all of these missions and instruments to investigate further, in conjunction with the likes of the James Webb Space Telescope or the European Extremely Large Telescope (E-ELT).
“To confirm our planets and measure their mass and density we require sensitive radial velocity measurements, initially with HARPS and then also with ESPRESSO on the VLT,” says Wheatley. “And to detect the atmospheres of NGTS planets we need a wide range of VLT and eventually E-ELT instrumentation for transmission spectroscopy and secondary eclipse observations. So we need ESO facilities to achieve our science goals, and ESO needs NGTS to provide small planet targets to the VLT and eventually E-ELT.”
The coming decade is going to be an exciting one for exoplanet searches as the focus moves away from the gas giant hot Jupiters to the smaller and more common hot Neptunes and super-Earths. But will the cheapest exoplanet experiment of them all, NGTS, prove to find the most interesting planets and therefore make the biggest mark? Given the success of SuperWASP, we shouldn’t be surprised if it does.